Get Ready for the Ignite Fantasy Football Draft Predictions

What’s not to like about fantasy football? It raises the importance of the unimportant football games (i.e., those games in which your team is not participating). It allows for some of the finest trash talking on the planet - with few repercussions for losing the Sunday match-up as long as you win the weekly war of words. And, most importantly, fantasy football gives Istobe yet one more opportunity to crunch data in an effort to predict outcomes. So in the next two weeks, we plan on crunching the last seven years of NFL player data in an attempt to predict this year’s fantasy workhorses.

The deliverable: a more comprehensive draft prospectus that takes into account production as opposed to hype. We can almost guarantee that our draft sheets will be more boring: there will likely be fewer “upside” guys but also fewer “downside” guys. We’ll also let you know what variables figured most heavily into the selection.

To crunch the football data we’ll use the same modeling techniques that drive our Istobe application. Obviously, however, the models will be slightly different since we’ll be dealing with football players instead of products and customers. Our goal is to see how well the Istobe models stack up against the experts at ESPN, et al. So at the same time we deliver our lists, we’ll also give you a set of links to comparable predictions against which you can compare us.

Here is the order in which we’ll deliver our draft lists. Note that we will probably not super crunch any data for Defenses or Kickers. We don’t currently have any data for Defenses and Kickers are just too boring to bother with.

August 28: QBs
September 2: Wide Receivers
September 3: Running Backs
September 4: Tight Ends

Tags: Data Mining, fantasy football, Predictive Analytics, super crunch

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This entry was posted on Monday, August 18th, 2008 at 7:16 pm and is filed under Data Mining, Predictive Analytics. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.